Sports fans are very reactionary — that’s a fact. Many of them consistently watch ESPN and follow other sports news outlets to track the hottest teams, and are traditionally quick to overreact to a winning or losing streak. However, at Sports Insights we know that the season is long and that being reactionary and overly emotional is one quick way to see your bankroll plummet. We preach a contrarian philosophy which not only includes betting against the public, but also illuminates the importance of buying on bad news and selling on good. This is how a true sports investor can capitalize on the emotions of square bettors.
Across all six major US sports, we’ve seen several dependable and persistent trends: home field advantage is consistently overvalued (with the exception of baseball), teams receiving less than 30% of public bets are consistently profitable, and teams coming off of a loss are undervalued by the public. In fact, just one year ago on this very blog we wrote an article detailing how NBA team are undervalued after defeat of 15+ points.
Since then, we have added dozens of new filters to our method of finding picks and we wondered whether this trend had continued to maintain profitability and whether the addition of these new filters could be used to improve our earlier results.
The first step was to create a brand new NBA betting system based on our previous blowout system. We started by focusing on road underdogs, and adjusted the previous game margin from 15+ to 16+ to maximize our profits. However, unlike last time we opted to look at all road underdogs and not just double digit road dogs.
We have also written previously about how NBA teams in the midst of a road trip are typically undervalued, so we opted to add the previous game home/visitor filter which was not available at this same time last year. This system produced a 371-305 ATS record with 48.88 units earned and a 7.2% return on investment, but we were certain that additional filters could be layered on to improve our ROI.
Many square bettors don’t follow action across the league and are quick to bet the teams they see most frequently i.e. the league’s elite teams. While many novice bettors make this mistake, it actually creates value on the other side for sharp bettors to exploit. Knowing this, we added the opponent win percentage filter and focused solely on teams with a winning percentage of at least 60%.
Although the addition of this one filter cut our number of past matches in half, it results in a 164-104 ATS record with 51.47 units won and our system’s ROI skyrockets from 7.2% to 19.3%.
ProfessorsPicks.com is an inexhaustible resource for gamblers looking to make a wager today, tomorrow or in the near future. Our focus is to inform and entertain individuals about sports betting information, with ProfessorsPicks.com and its contributors regularly featured and quoted in such universal publications as Yahoo! Sports, ESPN.com, ESPN the Magazine, Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, Daily Racing Form and numerous regional outlets.
In addition to being the largest online provider of both Las Vegas and Offshore Odds, which includes up-to-the minute Line Movements and Betting Trends for each particular matchup, ProfessorsPicks.com offers the best stable of professional handicappers in the industry. But why buy our picks? ProfessorsPicks.com has always prided itself in being honest and fair, working hard for our customers, and providing solid results. But we don't just say it, we prove it...
Selling sports picks and other sports gaming information, since 2013. The fraudsters and fakes rarely survive a few years as they are more churn and burn operations all about getting as much money has they can, as quickly as they can, before the well dries up. We already have many years in the business, and will continue for many years to come.
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Historical Handicapping Records - We provide Handicapper Records, showing the selection made, the date and time it was published, the line and line source, and the win/loss results for the entire tenure of all experts while handicapping on ProfessorsPicks.com . Several of our handicappers have over 10 years of records accessible to the public on ProfessorsPicks.com . We do not just show you the last 10 picks, or only show the winners, like many of our competitors, but the complete history by sport for each handicapper. That we know of, ProfessorsPicks.com is the only handicapping service that discloses all historical records...we have nothing to hide. Click here to access our Handicapping Records.
Transparency - All pick selections are time-stamped when published.
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Your Personal Information Is Safe - We never sell personal information to third parties. We never have and never will!
Absolutely No Telemarketing - We never use your information for telemarketing or text message marketing. You will never get uncomfortable cold calls with sales pitches to buy picks from ProfessorsPicks.com . Unfortunately, as a leader in this industry, our brand is exploited at times by fraudsters using phishing techniques. If you ever receive a call or text message trying to sell you sports picks from someone claiming to be from ProfessorsPicks.com , hang-up, delete, or ignore as it is not from us. The only time our customer service representative will call a customer is to help resolve an issue with a recent purchase, assist with renewals, or to respond back to a voicemail message if requested.
No Auto-Renewals - Our products are never auto-renewing, forcing customer to manually opt-out to end the billing cycle.
Line Source - All selections are sourced from Las Vegas or Offshore sportsbooks with documented lines and time-stamped sports picks. We only source lines from sportsbooks which take U.S. action.
No Betting Units - ProfessorsPicks.com grades and ranks all handicappers on one-unit plays ($100) per selection. We don’t allow our experts to pad their records with multiple unit wagers. (Ex. 10-Star, 5-Unit, 20-Dimes, etc…)
No Last-Minute Pick Submitting - We encourage our handicappers to submit their selections as early as possible, and all picks are required to be posted at least one hour prior to the start time of each game. That will give you plenty of time to visit your sportsbook.
Need more reasons to buy your picks from us?
ProfessorsPicks.com has dozens of industry proven experts to choose from with different handicapping styles to fit the type of bettor you are. We encourage customers to find the handicapper that fits their betting style based on our leaderboards per sport. For sports that cater to point-spread wagers (NFL, NBA, NCAAFB, NCAABK), we rank our handicappers in specific leaderboards-- Money, Percentage, Over/Under, Last Week’s, Guaranteed, Member. For sports that cater to money-line wagers (MLB, NHL), we rank our handicappers in specific leaderboards – Money, Over/Under, Favorites, Underdogs, Guaranteed, Member.
Discounts: Long subscriptions. We discount our season packages. Towards the end of the season we launch the Playoff packages which include the rest of the regular season for FREE!
Multiple package discount: Email us to purchase more than one sport and we’ll give you a discount.
Payment methods - We accept most major credit cards (Visa, Mastercard, Discover Card, Diners Club, and American Express). Pay Pal is our most common check out method.
Still not satisfied? - We provide superior customer service with a common sense approach to handling unique situations. Contact our customer service department and we will assist you to the best of our abilities. Need a winner? Have a question ? Email us at firstname.lastname@example.org. If we could give you tomorrow’s results we would, but we’ll do our best to find you winners today!